Children Versus Ideas: An 'Influential' Theory of Demographic Transition

The Demographic Transition Theory

Contents 1. Introduction 2. Harsh criticisms, at times unwarranted 3. The main ingredients 3.1 The evidence 3.2 Interpretation 4. A false dichotomy 5. Some real weaknesses 6. Three central propositions 6.1 The chronological sequence : mortality decline, followed by fertility decline 6.2 A model of the reproductive transition in two phases : restriction of marriages, followed by limitation of bi...

Demographic Transition Theory Contradicted Repeatedly by Data

The latest and the most elaborate theory describing economic growth is the Unified Growth Theory (Galor, 2005, 2011). The theory, or model, describing the growth of human population is the Demographic Transition Theory (see for instance Caldwell, 1976, 2006; Casterline, 2003; Coale, 1973; Haupt & Kane, 2005; Kirk, 1996; Landry, 1934; Lee, 2003; Lehr, 2009; McFalls, 2007; Notestein, 1945; Olshan...

Demographic Transition

The differences in the wealth of nations have been in existence historically. The extent of inequalities has been very large and even today they do exist and hence the phenomenon is disturbing. It is an undisputed fact that population of a country does have some effect on the economic growth of a country but the extent to which the population size and composition affects the economy has been a ...

THE SECOND DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION THEORY: A Review and Appraisal.

References to the second demographic transition (SDT) concept/theoretical framework have increased dramatically in the last two decades. The SDT predicts unilinear change toward very low fertility and a diversity of union and family types. The primary driver of these changes is a powerful, inevitable and irreversible shift in attitudes and norms in the direction of greater individual freedom an...

Brand Blanshard's theory of ideas